A CHAID Based Performance Prediction Model in Educational Data Mining

TL;DR

This paper develops a CHAID-based predictive model for student performance in Indian higher secondary education, identifying key factors influencing academic success and outperforming other models in accuracy.

Contribution

It introduces a novel CHAID-based model for predicting student performance using real educational data from India, with an emphasis on identifying influential factors.

Findings

CHAID model achieved satisfactory accuracy

Key factors influencing performance identified

Model outperformed other predictive models

Abstract

The performance in higher secondary school education in India is a turning point in the academic lives of all students. As this academic performance is influenced by many factors, it is essential to develop predictive data mining model for students' performance so as to identify the slow learners and study the influence of the dominant factors on their academic performance. In the present investigation, a survey cum experimental methodology was adopted to generate a database and it was constructed from a primary and a secondary source. While the primary data was collected from the regular students, the secondary data was gathered from the school and office of the Chief Educational Officer (CEO). A total of 1000 datasets of the year 2006 from five different schools in three different districts of Tamilnadu were collected. The raw data was preprocessed in terms of filling up missing values, transforming values in one form into another and relevant attribute/ variable selection. As a result, we had 772 student records, which were used for CHAID prediction model construction. A set of prediction rules were extracted from CHIAD prediction model and the efficiency of the generated CHIAD prediction model was found. The accuracy of the present model was compared with other model and it has been found to be satisfactory.