Towards an 'average' version of the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture
John Goes, Steven J Miller

TL;DR
This paper improves understanding of the distribution of zeros of L-functions associated with elliptic curves by averaging over families, providing bounds that support the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture and related theories.
Contribution
It introduces a new averaging method over elliptic curve families to bound zeros near the central point at the expected scale.
Findings
Established non-trivial bounds for average zeros in small intervals
Provided evidence supporting the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture
Connected results with predictions from random matrix theory
Abstract
The Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture states that the rank of the Mordell-Weil group of an elliptic curve E equals the order of vanishing at the central point of the associated L-function L(s,E). Previous investigations have focused on bounding how far we must go above the central point to be assured of finding a zero, bounding the rank of a fixed curve or on bounding the average rank in a family. Mestre showed the first zero occurs by O(1/loglog(N_E)), where N_E is the conductor of E, though we expect the correct scale to study the zeros near the central point is the significantly smaller 1/log(N_E). We significantly improve on Mestre's result by averaging over a one-parameter family of elliptic curves, obtaining non-trivial upper and lower bounds for the average number of normalized zeros in intervals on the order of 1/log(N_E) (which is the expected scale). Our results may be…
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