Nonparametric methods for volatility density estimation
Bert van Es, Peter Spreij, Harry van Zanten

TL;DR
This paper reviews nonparametric methods for estimating the density of volatility in stochastic volatility models, transforming the problem into a deconvolution framework and comparing three different estimators.
Contribution
It introduces a transformation approach to volatility density estimation and compares Fourier, wavelet, and penalized projection estimators within this framework.
Findings
Comparison of estimator performances
Transformation of volatility estimation to deconvolution problem
Discussion of models based on discrete and continuous sampling
Abstract
Stochastic volatility modelling of financial processes has become increasingly popular. The proposed models usually contain a stationary volatility process. We will motivate and review several nonparametric methods for estimation of the density of the volatility process. Both models based on discretely sampled continuous time processes and discrete time models will be discussed. The key insight for the analysis is a transformation of the volatility density estimation problem to a deconvolution model for which standard methods exist. Three type of nonparametric density estimators are reviewed: the Fourier-type deconvolution kernel density estimator, a wavelet deconvolution density estimator and a penalized projection estimator. The performance of these estimators will be compared. Key words: stochastic volatility models, deconvolution, density estimation, kernel estimator, wavelets,…
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Taxonomy
TopicsFinancial Risk and Volatility Modeling · Stochastic processes and financial applications · Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
