The outburst duration and duty-cycle of GRS 1915+105
P. Deegan, C. Combet, G.A. Wynn

TL;DR
This study uses SPH simulations to analyze the long outburst duration and low duty cycle of GRS 1915+105, revealing it may be typical among LMXBs with many quiescent counterparts.
Contribution
It provides a detailed simulation-based model explaining the prolonged outburst and low duty cycle of GRS 1915+105, incorporating various physical effects and exploring parameter space.
Findings
Outburst duration predicted to last 20-100 years.
Recurrence time estimated around 10^4 years.
Duty cycle approximately 0.1%."],
Abstract
The extraordinarily long outburst of GRS 1915+105 makes it one of the most remarkable low-mass X-ray binaries (LMXBs). It has been in a state of constant outburst since its discovery in 1992, an eruption which has persisted ~100 times longer than those of more typical LXMBs. The long orbital period of GRS 1915+105 implies that it contains large and massive accretion disc which is able to fuel its extreme outburst. In this paper, we address the longevity of the outburst and quiescence phases of GRS 1915+105 using Smooth Particle Hydrodynamics (SPH) simulations of its accretion disc through many outburst cycles. Our model is set in the two-alpha framework and includes the effects of the thermo-viscous instability, tidal torques, irradiation by central X-rays and wind mass loss. We explore the model parameter space and the examine the impact of the various ingredients. We predict that the…
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