A Virtual Sky with Extragalactic HI and CO Lines for the SKA and ALMA

TL;DR

This paper presents a detailed simulation of extragalactic HI and CO emission lines across a large sky area, aiding the design of future radio telescopes like SKA and ALMA, and predicts challenges in detecting high-redshift HI.

Contribution

It introduces a comprehensive sky simulation of HI and CO lines based on semi-analytic galaxy evolution models within a cosmological framework, tailored for upcoming telescope surveys.

Findings

HI detection becomes more difficult at z>2 than no-evolution models suggest

Simulation captures baryon acoustic oscillations in galaxy distribution

Provides predictions for flux densities relevant to future surveys

Abstract

We present a sky simulation of the atomic HI emission line and the first ten CO rotational emission lines of molecular gas in galaxies beyond the Milky Way. The simulated sky field has a comoving diameter of 500/h Mpc, hence the actual field-of-view depends on the (user-defined) maximal redshift zmax; e.g. for zmax=10, the field of view yields ~4x4 sqdeg. For all galaxies, we estimate the line fluxes, line profiles, and angular sizes of the HI and CO emission lines. The galaxy sample is complete for galaxies with cold hydrogen masses above 10^8 Msun. This sky simulation builds on a semi-analytic model of the cosmic evolution of galaxies in a Lambda-cold dark matter (LCDM) cosmology. The evolving CDM-distribution was adopted from the Millennium Simulation, an N-body CDM-simulation in a cubic box with a side length of 500/h Mpc. This side length limits the coherence scale of our sky simulation: it is long enough to allow the extraction of the baryon acoustic oscillations (BAOs) in the galaxy power spectrum, yet the position and amplitude of the first acoustic peak will be imperfectly defined. This sky simulation is a tangible aid to the design and operation of future telescopes, such the SKA, the LMT, and ALMA. The results presented in this paper have been restricted to a graphical representation of the simulated sky and fundamental dN/dz-analyzes for peak flux density limited and total flux limited surveys of HI and CO. A key prediction is that HI will be harder to detect at redshifts z>2 than predicted by a no-evolution model. The future verification or falsification of this prediction will allow us to qualify the semi-analytic models.