Locally stationary long memory estimation
Fran\c{c}ois Roueff (LTCI), Rainer Von Sachs (STAT)

TL;DR
This paper introduces a novel method for estimating a time-varying long-memory parameter in locally stationary processes using wavelet-based log-regression, supported by theoretical proofs and practical examples.
Contribution
It extends existing long-memory estimation techniques to accommodate time-varying parameters within a locally stationary framework.
Findings
Proves weak consistency of the estimator.
Establishes a central limit theorem for the estimator.
Demonstrates effectiveness through simulations and real data.
Abstract
There exists a wide literature on modelling strongly dependent time series using a longmemory parameter d, including more recent work on semiparametric wavelet estimation. As a generalization of these latter approaches, in this work we allow the long-memory parameter d to be varying over time. We embed our approach into the framework of locally stationary processes. We show weak consistency and a central limit theorem for our log-regression wavelet estimator of the time-dependent d in a Gaussian context. Both simulations and a real data example complete our work on providing a fairly general approach.
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Taxonomy
TopicsFinancial Risk and Volatility Modeling · Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis · Market Dynamics and Volatility
