Forest fires on $\Z_+$ with ignition only at 0
Stanislav Volkov

TL;DR
This paper studies a forest fire model on the positive integers, revealing asymptotic distributions of burnouts and providing new limit results related to the Dickman function and exponential tail behaviors.
Contribution
It introduces a novel analysis of the forest fire process on $ ext{Z}_+$, connecting burnout times to the Dickman function and establishing exponential tail bounds on transitive graphs.
Findings
Burnout times at vertex n, scaled by log n, converge to a distribution involving the Dickman function.
On certain graphs, the first burnout times have exponential tail distributions.
An elementary proof of a limit involving binomial coefficients and the Euler-Mascheroni constant.
Abstract
We consider a version of the forest fire model on graph , where each vertex of a graph becomes occupied with rate one. A fixed vertex is hit by lightning with the same rate, and when this occurs, the whole cluster of occupied vertices containing is burnt out. We show that when , the times between consecutive burnouts at vertex , divided by , converge weakly as to a random variable which distribution is where is the Dickman function. We also show that on transitive graphs with a non-trivial site percolation threshold and one infinite cluster at most, the distributions of the time till the first burnout of {\it any} vertex have exponential tails. Finally, we give an elementary proof of an interesting limit: .
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Taxonomy
TopicsStochastic processes and statistical mechanics · Markov Chains and Monte Carlo Methods · Mathematical Dynamics and Fractals
