Fossil Gas and the Electromagnetic Precursor of Supermassive Binary Black Hole Mergers
P. Chang, L.E. Strubbe, K. Menou, E. Quataert

TL;DR
This paper models the evolution of supermassive binary black holes with a gas disk, predicting a distinctive electromagnetic brightening shortly before merger, which could help identify host galaxies in conjunction with gravitational wave signals.
Contribution
It introduces a one-dimensional model of gas disk evolution around binary black holes, revealing a late-time electromagnetic brightening as a potential merger signature.
Findings
Inner disk reaches a small asymptotic mass (~10^{-3}-10^{-4} solar masses)
Late-time brightening peaks about 1 day before merger at ~0.1 L_Edd
Electromagnetic signature is robust due to self-regulation in disk evolution
Abstract
Using a one-dimensional height integrated model, we calculate the evolution of an unequal mass binary black hole with a coplanar gas disk that contains a gap due to the presence of the secondary black hole. Viscous evolution of the outer circumbinary disk initially hardens the binary, while the inner disk drains onto the primary (central) black hole. As long as the inner disk remains cool and thin at low (rather than becoming hot and geometrically thick), the mass of the inner disk reaches an asymptotic mass typically . Once the semimajor axis shrinks below a critical value, angular momentum losses from gravitational waves dominate over viscous transport in hardening the binary. The inner disk then no longer responds viscously to the inspiraling black holes. Instead, tidal interactions with the secondary rapidly drive the inner disk into…
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