Episodic Random Accretion and the Cosmological Evolution of Supermassive Black Hole Spins
J.-M. Wang (1), C. Hu (1), Y.-R. Li (1), Y.-M. Chen (1), A. R. King, (2), A. Marconi (3), L. C. Ho (4), C.-S. Yan (1), R. Staubert (5), and S., Zhang (1) (1 IHEP, Beijing; 2 Leicester; 3 Florence, Italy; 4 OCIW, USA; 5, Tuebingen, Germany)

TL;DR
This paper investigates the evolution of supermassive black hole spins through radiative efficiency, revealing a decline from high to low redshift, and suggests episodic accretion reduces spin over cosmic time, challenging previous assumptions about jet formation.
Contribution
It introduces a formalism linking radiative efficiency to observable quasar properties, demonstrating cosmological evolution of black hole spin and its implications for galaxy evolution.
Findings
Radiative efficiency decreases from ~0.3 at z~2 to ~0.03 at z~0
Black hole spin evolution is driven by episodic, random accretion
Black hole growth history aligns with cosmic star formation history
Abstract
The growth of supermassive black holes (BHs) located at the centers of their host galaxies comes mainly from accretion of gas, but how to fuel them remains an outstanding unsolved problem in quasar evolution. This issue can be elucidated by quantifying the radiative efficiency parameter () as a function of redshift, which also provides constraints on the average spin of the BHs and its possible evolution with time. We derive a formalism to link with the luminosity density, BH mass density, and duty cycle of quasars, quantities we can estimate from existing quasar and galaxy survey data. We find that has a strong cosmological evolution: at z~2, , and by it has decreased by an order of magnitude, to . We interpret this trend as evolution in BH spin, and we appeal to episodic, random accretion as the mechanism for…
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