Preseismic oscillating electric field "strange attractor like" precursor, of T = 6 months, triggered by Ssa tidal wave. Application on large (Ms > 6.0R) EQs in Greece (October 1st, 2006 - December 2nd, 2008)

TL;DR

This study investigates a 6-month period oscillating electric field precursor, triggered by tidal forces, which can predict large earthquakes in Greece with improved accuracy over shorter wave length methods.

Contribution

It introduces a novel 6-month oscillating electric field precursor linked to tidal forces for earthquake prediction, with a new methodology for estimating epicenters.

Findings

Precursor can predict the time window of large EQs in Greece.

The 6-month electric field oscillation shows fractal properties in the frequency domain.

Continuous monitoring can enable early warning systems.

Abstract

In this work the preseismic "strange attractor like" precursor is studied, in the domain of the Earth's oscillating electric field for T = 6 months. It is assumed that the specific oscillating electric field is generated by the corresponding lithospheric oscillation, triggered by the Ssa tidal wave of the same wave length (6 months) under excess strain load conditions met in the focal area of a future large earthquake. The analysis of the recorded Earth's oscillating electric field by the two distant monitoring sites of PYR and HIO and for a period of time of 26 months (October 1st, 2006 - December 2nd, 2008) suggests that the specific precursor can successfully resolve the predictive time window in terms of months and for a "swarm" of large EQs (Ms > 6.0R), in contrast to the resolution obtained by the use of electric fields of shorter (T = 1, 14 days, single EQ identification) wave length. More over, the fractal character of the "strange attractor like" precursor in the frequency domain is pointed out. Finally, a proposal is made that concerns the continuous monitoring of the specific preseismic attractor in distinct different wave lengths of the oscillating Earth's electric field so that an early warning system can be utilized. As a refinement of the "strange attractor like" methodology, the guide lines of a generalized inversion scheme are presented so that the epicenter of the driving mechanism (seismic epicentral area) can be estimated in a least squares sense.