The energy production rate & the generation spectrum of UHECRs
Boaz Katz, Ran Budnik, Eli Waxman

TL;DR
This paper derives analytic expressions for the flux and spectrum of ultra-high energy cosmic rays from extragalactic sources, providing a method to infer production rates from observed data and analyzing implications for source models.
Contribution
It offers a simple, accurate analytic framework for relating observed UHECR flux to source production rates, and constrains models of cosmic-ray origins based on spectral data.
Findings
Current UHECR flux implies a production rate of about 0.45×10^44 erg Mpc^-3 yr^-1 at energies below 10^19.5 eV.
Spectral index α is roughly between 2 and 2.7, with models favoring α≈2 and a transition at the ankle.
Steep spectra (α≈2.7) are disfavored unless fine-tuned, and composition measurements are crucial for disentangling Galactic and extragalactic contributions.
Abstract
We derive simple analytic expressions for the flux and spectrum of ultra-high energy cosmic-rays (UHECRs) predicted in models where the CRs are protons produced by extra-Galactic sources. For a power-law scaling of the CR production rate with redshift and energy, d\dot{n} /dE\propto E^-\alpha (1+z)^m, our results are accurate at high energy, E>10^18.7 eV, to better than 15%, providing a simple and straightforward method for inferring d\dot{n}/dE from the observed flux at E. We show that current measurements of the UHECR spectrum, including the latest Auger data, imply E^2d\dot{n}/dE(z=0)=(0.45\pm0.15)(\alpha-1) 10^44 erg Mpc^-3 yr^-1 at E<10^19.5 eV with \alpha roughly confined to 2\lesseq\alpha<2.7. The uncertainty is dominated by the systematic and statistic errors in the experimental determination of individual CR event energy, (\Delta E/E)_{sys} (\Delta E/E)_{stat} ~20%. At lower…
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