The abundance of lensing protoclusters
Anson D'Aloisio, Steven R. Furlanetto, Priyamvada Natarajan

TL;DR
This paper models lensing protoclusters to assess their abundance and potential to explain dark lenses, concluding they are too rare to be a significant factor.
Contribution
It introduces an analytic model and semi-analytic estimates to evaluate the abundance of lensing protoclusters with low X-ray detectability.
Findings
Lensing protoclusters must have small virial mass and large total mass to produce detectable shear.
Such protoclusters are extremely rare, less than 0.4% of total lenses in typical surveys.
They are unlikely to account for the majority of dark lenses.
Abstract
Weak gravitational lensing provides a potentially powerful method for the detection of clusters. In addition to cluster candidates, a large number of objects with possibly no optical or X-ray component have been detected in shear-selected samples. We develop an analytic model to investigate the claim of Weinberg & Kamionkowski (2002) that unvirialised protoclusters account for a significant number of these so-called "dark" lenses. In our model, a protocluster consists of a small virialised region surrounded by in-falling matter. We find that, in order for a protocluster to simultaneously escape X-ray detection and create a detectable weak lensing signal, it must have a small virial mass (~10^{13} \Msun) and large total mass (~ 10^{15} \Msun), with a relatively flat density profile outside of the virial radius. Such objects would be characterized by rising tangential shear profiles well…
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