An impossibility result for process discrimination
Daniil Ryabko (INRIA Lille - Nord Europe)

TL;DR
This paper proves that it is impossible to reliably distinguish whether two independent binary sequences come from the same or different B-processes, highlighting fundamental limitations in process discrimination.
Contribution
It establishes an impossibility result showing that no discrimination procedure can reliably differentiate between sequences from the same or different B-processes.
Findings
Discrimination procedures have a non-negligible error rate.
Contrasts with previous positive results on B-processes.
Shows fundamental limits in process classification.
Abstract
Two series of binary observations and are presented: at each time we are given and . It is assumed that the sequences are generated independently of each other by two B-processes. We are interested in the question of whether the sequences represent a typical realization of two different processes or of the same one. We demonstrate that this is impossible to decide, in the sense that every discrimination procedure is bound to err with non-negligible frequency when presented with sequences from some B-processes. This contrasts earlier positive results on B-processes, in particular those showing that there are consistent -distance estimates for this class of processes.
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Taxonomy
TopicsAdvanced Statistical Process Monitoring · Statistical Methods and Inference · Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
