Author-choice open access publishing in the biological and medical literature: a citation analysis
Philip M. Davis

TL;DR
This study examines citation patterns in biological and medical journals with author-choice open access, finding a modest overall citation increase and a declining open access advantage over time.
Contribution
It provides a detailed citation analysis of open access effects across multiple journals, highlighting a decreasing trend in open access citation benefits.
Findings
17% average citation increase for open access articles
Open access advantage declined from 32% in 2004 to 11% in 2007
Only 2 of 11 journals showed significant positive open access effects
Abstract
In this article, we analyze the citations to articles published in 11 biological and medical journals from 2003 to 2007 that employ author-choice open access models. Controlling for known explanatory predictors of citations, only 2 of the 11 journals show positive and significant open access effects. Analyzing all journals together, we report a small but significant increase in article citations of 17%. In addition, there is strong evidence to suggest that the open access advantage is declining by about 7% per year, from 32% in 2004 to 11% in 2007.
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