Core-collapse supernovae in low-metallicity environments and future all-sky transient surveys

TL;DR

This paper evaluates the feasibility of detecting core-collapse supernovae in low-metallicity dwarf galaxies using various survey strategies, predicting detection rates for current and future all-sky transient surveys.

Contribution

It provides a detailed analysis of supernova detection prospects in metal-poor environments across multiple survey platforms, including Monte-Carlo simulations and rate estimates.

Findings

Single 2m telescope can detect ~1.3 CCSNe/yr in low-metallicity galaxies.

Network of seven 2m telescopes could find ~9.3 CCSNe/yr but requires extensive time.

Future surveys like Pan-STARRS, PS1, PS4, and LSST could detect thousands of CCSNe annually in low-metallicity environments.

Abstract

Aims: Massive stars in low-metallicity environments may produce exotic explosions such as long-duration gamma-ray bursts and pair-instability supernovae when they die as core-collapse supernovae (CCSNe). Here we determine the feasibility of searching for these CCSNe in metal-poor dwarf galaxies using various survey strategies. Methods: We determine oxygen abundances and star-formation rates for all spectroscopically typed star-forming galaxies in the Sloan Digital Sky Survey, Data Release 5, within z = 0.04. We then estimate the CCSN rates for sub-samples of galaxies with differing upper-metallicity limits. Using Monte-Carlo simulations we then predict the fraction of these CCSNe that we can expect to detect using different survey strategies. Results: Using a single 2m telescope (with a standard CCD camera) search we predict a detection rate of ~1.3 CCSNe/yr in galaxies with metallicities below 12 + log(O/H) < 8.2 which are within a volume that will allow detailed follow-up with 4m and 8m telescopes (z = 0.04). With a network of seven 2m telescopes we estimate ~9.3 CCSNe/yr could be found, although this would require more than 1,000 hrs of telescope time allocated to the network. Within the same radial distance, a volume-limited search in the future Pan-STARRS PS1 all-sky survey should uncover 12.5 CCSNe/yr in low-metallicity galaxies. Over a period of a few years this would allow a detailed comparison of their properties. We then extend our calculations to determine the total numbers of CCSNe that can potentially be found in magnitude-limited surveys with PS1 (24,000/yr, within z < 0.6), PS4 (69,000/yr, within z < 0.8) and LSST (160,000/yr, within z < 0.9) surveys.