A Mathematical Theory of Stochastic Microlensing I. Random Time-Delay Functions and Lensing Maps
Arlie O. Petters, Brian Rider, Alberto M. Teguia

TL;DR
This paper develops a rigorous mathematical framework for stochastic microlensing, deriving exact and asymptotic distributions for key lensing quantities, which enhances understanding of dark matter effects on galactic scales.
Contribution
It introduces the first comprehensive mathematical theory of stochastic microlensing, including explicit formulas for distributions of time delay functions and lensing maps, and explores their asymptotic behaviors.
Findings
The p.d.f. of normalized random time delay at the origin is a shifted gamma distribution.
The asymptotic p.d.f. of the lensing map converges to a bivariate normal distribution.
The expectation and variance relate to the first Betti number of the domain.
Abstract
Stochastic microlensing is a central tool in probing dark matter on galactic scales. From first principles, we initiate the development of a mathematical theory of stochastic microlensing. Beginning with the random time delay function and associated lensing map, we determine exact expressions for the mean and variance of these transformations. We characterize the exact p.d.f. of a normalized random time delay function at the origin, showing that it is a shifted gamma distribution, which also holds at leading order in the limit of a large number of point masses at a general point of the lens plane. For the large number of point masses limit, we also prove that the asymptotic p.d.f. of the random lensing map under a specified scaling converges to a bivariate normal distribution. We show analytically that the p.d.f. of the random scaled lensing map at leading order depends on the magnitude…
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