The Phase Transition to Eternal Inflation
Paolo Creminelli (ICTP, Trieste), Sergei Dubovsky (Harvard U., Physics, Dept., and Moscow, INR), Alberto Nicolis (Columbia U.), Leonardo Senatore, (Harvard U., Physics Dept.), and Matias Zaldarriaga (Harvard U., Physics, Dept., and Harvard-Smithsonian Ctr. Astrophys.)

TL;DR
This paper analyzes the phase transition to eternal inflation by examining the probability distribution of the reheating volume, identifying a critical inflaton speed where the distribution becomes infinite and eternal inflation begins.
Contribution
It provides an exact quantum analysis of the transition to eternal inflation, identifying a critical inflaton speed and characterizing the probability distribution of reheating volume.
Findings
Existence of a critical inflaton speed for phase transition
Infinite moments of the distribution below critical speed
Finite probability of infinite reheating volume at transition
Abstract
For slow-roll inflation we study the phase transition to the eternal regime. Starting from a finite inflationary volume, we consider the volume of the universe at reheating as order parameter. We show that there exists a critical value for the classical inflaton speed, \dot\phi^2/H^4 = 3/(2 \pi^2), where the probability distribution for the reheating volume undergoes a sharp transition. In particular, for sub-critical inflaton speeds all distribution moments become infinite. We show that at the same transition point the system develops a non-vanishing probability of having a strictly infinite reheating volume, while retaining a finite probability for finite values. Our analysis represents the exact quantum treatment of the system at lowest order in the slow-roll parameters and H^2/M_Pl^2.
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