Hadronic Uncertainties in the Elastic Scattering of Supersymmetric Dark Matter
John Ellis, Keith A. Olive, Christopher Savage

TL;DR
This paper reviews the uncertainties in calculating supersymmetric dark matter scattering cross sections, highlighting the dominant role of hadronic matrix element uncertainties, especially the $\sigma$ term, in interpreting experimental searches.
Contribution
It identifies and quantifies the main hadronic uncertainties affecting dark matter scattering predictions, emphasizing the need for experimental determination of the $\sigma$ term.
Findings
Uncertainty in the $\sigma$ term dominates spin-independent scattering predictions.
Hadronic uncertainties significantly impact dark matter detection interpretations.
Proton spin content uncertainties affect indirect detection rate calculations.
Abstract
We review the uncertainties in the spin-independent and -dependent elastic scattering cross sections of supersymmetric dark matter particles on protons and neutrons. We propagate the uncertainties in quark masses and hadronic matrix elements that are related to the -nucleon term and the spin content of the nucleon. By far the largest single uncertainty is that in spin-independent scattering induced by our ignorance of the matrix elements linked to the -nucleon term, which affects the ratio of cross sections on proton and neutron targets as well as their absolute values. This uncertainty is already impacting the interpretations of experimental searches for cold dark matter. {\it We plead for an experimental campaign to determine better the -nucleon term.} Uncertainties in the spin content of the proton affect significantly,…
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