Extrasolar planet detection by binary stellar eclipse timing: evidence for a third body around CM Draconis

TL;DR

This study analyzes eclipse timing variations of the binary star CM Draconis to investigate the presence of a third body, finding evidence for a planetary or substellar companion influencing the system's observed timing behavior.

Contribution

It provides the first detailed analysis of eclipse timing variations in CM Dra, suggesting the presence of a third body with specific mass and orbital period ranges, and rules out some alternative explanations.

Findings

Evidence supports a third body with an 18.5-year period.

The white dwarf GJ 630.1B is not responsible for the timing variations.

Other mechanisms like stellar winds or Applegate's mechanism are rejected.

Abstract

Context: New eclipse minimum timings of the M4.5/M4.5 binary CM Dra were obtained between the years 2000 and 2007. In combination with published timings going back to 1977, a clear non-linearity in observed-minus-calculated (O-C) times has become apparent. Several models are applied to explain the observed timing behavior. Aims: Revealing the processes that cause the observed O-C behavior, and testing the evidence for a third body around the CM Dra system. Methods: The O-C times of the system were fitted against several functions, representing different physical origins of the timing variations. Results: An analysis using model-selection statistics gives about equal weight to a parabolic and to a sinusoidal fitting function. Attraction from a third body, either at large distance in a quasi-constant constellation across the years of observations or from a body on a shorter orbit generating periodicities in O-C times is the most likely source of the observed O-C times. The white dwarf GJ 630.1B, a proper motion companion of CM Dra, can however be rejected as the responsible third body. Also, no further evidence of the short-periodic planet candidate described by Deeg et al. (2000) is found, whereas other mechanisms, such as period changes from stellar winds or Applegate's mechanism can be rejected. Conclusions: A third body, being either a few-Jupiter-mass object with a period of 18.5+-4.5 years or an object in the mass range of 1.5M_jup to 0.1M_sun with periods of hundreds to thousands of years is the most likely origin of the observed minimum timing behavior.