Neighborhood Chance and Neighborhood Change
Arnout Van de Rijt, David Siegel, Michael Macy

TL;DR
This paper discusses the dynamics of neighborhood change and the role of chance in influencing neighborhood trajectories, contributing to sociological understanding of urban development.
Contribution
It introduces a novel framework for analyzing neighborhood change through probabilistic models of chance and social processes.
Findings
Chance significantly impacts neighborhood trajectories
New model predicts neighborhood stability and change
Insights inform urban policy and community planning
Abstract
WITHDRAWAL NOTICE This paper has been withdrawn by the authors as required by the American Journal of Sociology, which has accepted the paper for publication. AJS will not publish papers if the preprint remains posted on arXiv.
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Taxonomy
TopicsUrban, Neighborhood, and Segregation Studies · Housing Market and Economics · Spatial and Panel Data Analysis
