Continuous-time trading and emergence of volatility
Vladimir Vovk

TL;DR
This paper demonstrates that in idealized continuous-price financial markets, the strong variation exponent of non-constant price processes must be 2, aligning with properties of continuous martingales, without relying on probabilistic assumptions.
Contribution
It establishes a non-probabilistic proof that the variation exponent of continuous price processes in idealized markets is necessarily 2, revealing fundamental properties of market randomness.
Findings
Strong variation exponent of non-constant processes is 2
Results hold without probabilistic assumptions
Aligns with properties of continuous martingales
Abstract
This note continues investigation of randomness-type properties emerging in idealized financial markets with continuous price processes. It is shown, without making any probabilistic assumptions, that the strong variation exponent of non-constant price processes has to be 2, as in the case of continuous martingales.
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Taxonomy
TopicsStochastic processes and financial applications · Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis · Economic theories and models
