An analytical model of surface mass densities of cold dark matter haloes - with an application to MACHO microlensing optical depths
Janne Holopainen, Erik Zackrisson, Alexander Knebe, Pasi Nurmi, Pekka, Heinamaki, Chris Flynn, Stuart Gill, Teresa Riehm

TL;DR
This paper develops an analytical model to quantify biases in surface mass density estimates of dark matter haloes caused by assuming spherical symmetry, with implications for microlensing studies of MACHOs.
Contribution
It introduces an analytical model for surface density scatter due to halo triaxiality and substructure, improving the accuracy of light propagation modeling in dark matter haloes.
Findings
Triaxiality causes up to ±70-80% scatter in surface densities.
Subhaloes increase scatter, especially in galaxy-sized haloes.
The model helps assess the reliability of simplified halo models.
Abstract
The cold dark matter (CDM) scenario generically predicts the existence of triaxial dark matter haloes which contain notable amounts of substructure. However, analytical halo models with smooth, spherically symmetric density profiles are routinely adopted in the modelling of light propagation effects through such objects. In this paper, we address the biases introduced by this procedure by comparing the surface mass densities of actual N-body haloes against the widely used analytical model suggested by Navarro, Frenk and White (1996) (NFW). We conduct our analysis in the redshift range of 0.0 - 1.5. In cluster sized haloes, we find that triaxiality can cause scatter in the surface mass density of the haloes up to sigma_+ = +60% and sigma_- = -70%, where the 1-sigma limits are relative to the analytical NFW model given value. Subhaloes can increase this scatter to sigma_+ = +70% and…
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