Simulation of ratio of old to young people in countries like Poland

TL;DR

This paper models the demographic shift in countries like Poland, highlighting the increasing challenges of an aging population due to declining birth rates and projecting future societal impacts after 2030.

Contribution

It provides a simulation framework to predict the ratio of old to young people in countries experiencing recent birth rate declines.

Findings

The old-to-young ratio will significantly increase after 2030.

Countries like Poland face urgent demographic challenges.

Simulation results can inform policy planning.

Abstract

Countries like Poland with a recent sharp drop in birth rates still have some time to prepare for the problems of an ageing society. Ater the year 2030 they can become increasingly serious.