The Epps effect revisited
Bence Toth, Janos Kertesz

TL;DR
This paper investigates the Epps effect, revealing that the correlation decay is linked to human reaction times rather than trading frequency, and introduces a new decomposition method to analyze this phenomenon.
Contribution
It provides a novel decomposition approach to understand the Epps effect and demonstrates that the effect's time scale is independent of market activity, emphasizing human reaction times.
Findings
Epps curves do not scale with market activity.
The Epps effect is connected to human reaction times.
The new decomposition method accurately fits real-world data.
Abstract
We analyse the dependence of stock return cross-correlations on the sampling frequency of the data known as the Epps effect: For high resolution data the cross-correlations are significantly smaller than their asymptotic value as observed on daily data. The former description implies that changing trading frequency should alter the characteristic time of the phenomenon. This is not true for the empirical data: The Epps curves do not scale with market activity. The latter result indicates that the time scale of the phenomenon is connected to the reaction time of market participants (this we denote as human time scale), independent of market activity. In this paper we give a new description of the Epps effect through the decomposition of cross-correlations. After testing our method on a model of generated random walk price changes we justify our analytical results by fitting the Epps…
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Taxonomy
TopicsComplex Systems and Time Series Analysis · Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting · Stock Market Forecasting Methods
